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Published 3 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
The US votes today. Every midterm since 2014 crashed Bitcoin. Here’s my full playbook. Every midterm crashed Bitcoin, but each crash got smaller: -61%, -52%, -26%. So this time I expect max -12%. I’m not waiting for the bottom. I’m already in. Average long: $80K. If we go lower, I keep adding. All-in zone: $76K–$68K. Same zone where whales are bidding. One year after the last 3 midterms, BTC was up 24%, 45% and 92%. From here, that’s $95K, $107.5K and $146K. Weekly close below $67K and I’m wrong.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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