Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,947 at 3 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,278 at 4 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 78278.47 / 76946.61 − 1 = +1.7%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology