Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,499 at 3 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,389 at 4 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 78389.17 / 76498.76 − 1 = +2.5%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology