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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Nov 2026, 12:12 UTC · fetched 2 Nov 2026, 12:31 UTC

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

$BTC not sure why I feel this but I think that we need to see at least 1 more visit near the lows. Expecting lots of chop overall though in the coming days https://t.co/IcckbzxHQD

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,674 at 2 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,299 at 3 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 77299.05 / 77674.24 − 1 = -0.5%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$BTC not sure why I feel this but I think that we need to see at least 1 more visit near the lows.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

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