Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,038 at 2 Nov 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,455 at 3 Nov 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 76455.25 / 78037.7 − 1 = -2.0%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology