Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,020 at 1 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,370 at 2 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 77370.36 / 78020 − 1 = -0.8%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology