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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 31 Oct 2026, 08:41 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:38 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$BTC tapped its 100D MA level, while the RSI is approaching oversold territory. Looks like the bottom is close. https://t.co/NSUWkeEjdz

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,208 at 31 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,110 at 1 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 78110.24 / 77208.14 − 1 = +1.2%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC tapped its 100D MA level, while the RSI is approaching oversold territory.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3