Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Oct 2026, 18:03 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:56 UTC

Dan Held

@danheld

Quoting · 14 Jan 2015, 00:34 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin selloff continues. HODL!! http://t.co/IDmWcnntwr

I've been here before. Feeling panic. Despair. Fear. This is normal. We're all human after all. And this is where BTFD and HODL are how you make it. https://t.co/jHwsnhMyAh

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “I've been here before. Feeling panic. Despair. Fear. This is normal. We're all human after all. And this is where BTFD and HODL are how you make it. https://t.co/jHwsnhMyAh”
Confidence: 55%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (55%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction