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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Oct 2026, 17:56 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

IncomeSharks

@IncomeSharks

If the prediction of the fakeout above and the fakeout below have played out on Ethereum, I'm feeling more confident the rest of the squiggles will too. Does it look terrible now, yes, but the other fakeout looked really bullish and it topped. https://t.co/kjGgLzj0As

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,240 at 30 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,252 at 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 2252.15 / 2240.39 − 1 = +0.5%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “If the prediction of the fakeout above and the fakeout below have played out on Ethereum, I'm feeling more confident the rest of the squiggles will too.”
Confidence: 97%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

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AI interpretation

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