Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Oct 2026, 17:31 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

In reply to · 30 Oct 2026, 17:13 UTC · context given to the AI

@randgroup Bitcoin at $76k after another major hack? I like those odds for the next 12 months

@samuelnorriis Same, buying after the worst headline of the year has worked every time so far

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@samuelnorriis Same, buying after the worst headline of the year has worked every time so far”
Confidence: 71%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (71%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3