Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Oct 2026, 14:32 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

exitpump

@exitpumpBTC

Quoting · 18 Oct 2026, 19:33 UTC · context given to the AI

$ETH Setting bids at $2,200 Everything is going according to plan. https://t.co/78iK3BT3Pb https://t.co/vwIk388hzI

Bought spot $ETH and went long. Was waiting for these levels to bid for 3 weeks, price finally came there. Expecting a major swing low to form here at 2.1k - 2.2k, otherwise cooked. https://t.co/gnLVDJjWDF https://t.co/zxCzqGuSoc

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,233 at 30 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,243 at 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 2243.05 / 2233.38 − 1 = +0.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bought spot $ETH and went long.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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