Loading…

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Oct 2026, 11:55 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Jelle

@CryptoJelleNL

Death cross ➡️ traverse no man’s land ➡️ moon. That’s been the pattern forever. I expect $BTC to chop between these MAs for a while, and then we move. Your only job is to not lose it all before that happens. https://t.co/pyMkohCA1t

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,242 at 30 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,465 at 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
r = 77465 / 77241.91 − 1 = +0.3%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “I expect $BTC to chop between these MAs for a while, and then we move.”
Confidence: 91%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction