Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,873 at 30 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,208 at 31 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 77208.14 / 77873.27 − 1 = -0.9%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology