Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,018 at 30 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,206 at 31 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 77205.83 / 78017.76 − 1 = -1.0%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology