Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,783 at 30 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,180 at 31 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC.
3. r = 77180.42 / 77782.75 − 1 = -0.8%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology