Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Oct 2026, 18:01 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

In reply to · 29 Oct 2026, 17:54 UTC · context given to the AI

@randgroup $ETH refusing to die again, seen this movie before and the ending usually hurts the shorts

@AmalieXBT Shorts piled in at the line again, could get painful if it holds

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@AmalieXBT Shorts piled in at the line again, could get painful if it holds”
Confidence: 52%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (52%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3