Loading…

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Oct 2026, 12:47 UTC · fetched 29 Oct 2026, 13:43 UTC

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

$LIT I've marked this area for a long time and it's nice to see LIT bouncing. This one was extremely heavy for a while and I'm watching to see if it'll have a multiday rally on the back of the hyperliquid news. https://t.co/9kAVydRrjE

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $LIT price at or after publication, $3.20 at 29 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2.75 at 30 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 2.75241859464269 / 3.19924671608283 − 1 = -14.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -14.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $LIT ($LIT)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$LIT I've marked this area for a long time and it's nice to see LIT bouncing.”
Confidence: 87%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction