Published 28 Oct 2026, 17:41 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:36 UTC
Matt Hougan
@Matt_Hougan
In reply to · 28 Oct 2026, 17:39 UTC · context given to the AI
Looks like Bitwise bumped its 10-yr Bitcoin target to $1.6M. Fun number. I care way more about the assumptions sitting under it... that's where the actual lesson is. Which one would you push on? https://t.co/sJeyyZH4xh@jpmoses The most vulnerable prediction is what % of the store of value market bitcoin will take. I think it's reasonably conservative, but you can argue it. The TAM argument is hard to rebuke.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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