Published 27 Oct 2026, 19:53 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC
Daan Crypto Trades
@DaanCrypto
Quoting · 26 Oct 2026, 19:33 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC Big week(s). Either Bitcoin holds $80K throughout these next 1-2 weeks with: FOMC, Earnings, Election(s), IPO filing(s), End/Start of the month flows & whatever geopolitical headlines we're going to see. In that case I think we go to $87K and take out those equal highs there and target $90K+. If price does lose $80K we'll find ourselves in a solid high timeframe value area (I think) in the mid to low $70Ks. Might chop around there for a while and things will look scary. But from there I do believe we have a good chance of setting that higher timeframe higher low from the big impulse from $58K to the recent high at $87K. Best to keep an eye on the headlines and see how the market reacts. That will be leading. I think sentiment and outlook is pretty bearish already so if we were to absorb whatever selling happens down here and prices just start grinding up that'd be a big sign of strength to me and at that case I think this will just keep drifting up by shorts covering and sidelined/derisked capital moving back in over the days. It's going to be very easy to get chopped up or shaken out of your bias in the next 1-2 weeks I think. Easiest to just play things level by level and go from there. Don't assume supports or resistances break until you actually see it broken (on a daily candle close for example). That is how many people keep getting caught off guard.$BTC Another day sitting at the $80K support. Neither bull or bear seems to be able to get this market moving in any direction at this point. I do stand by my point of yesterday. Even in a non ideal outcome of all the upcoming events, once they are done with, the market has certainty which helps the bulls more than the bears. So if the bears want to see lower levels, it should happen sooner than later for that scenario to play out in my opinion. The more selling gets absorbed down here during all this uncertainty without a breakdown, the more likely it is that we'll see seller exhaustion at some point and the market just starts grinding higher.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 81502.09 / 80706.76 − 1 = +1.0%d × r = +1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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