Loading…

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 27 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

Everyone is selling $ETH. ETFs: $379M out in 7 days. The Foundation: sold 2,785 ETH on Monday. OGs: moving coins to exchanges. And Bitfinex whales have been quietly loading longs for weeks. Someone is very wrong here. I know which side I'm on. https://t.co/byTvmDizNx

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,348 at 27 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,332 at 28 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 2331.99 / 2347.81 − 1 = -0.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Everyone is selling $ETH.”
Confidence: 94%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction