Published 27 Oct 2026, 07:49 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Jelle
@CryptoJelleNL
Quoting · 15 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC · context given to the AI
Less than three weeks until the US midterms. 🇺🇸 Generally, the market holds its breath going in and moves higher once the uncertainty is gone. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has averaged 16.6% in the 12 months after a midterm vs 6.9% in other years. Expecting $BTC to follow suit.'Generally, the market holds its breath going in, and moves higher once the uncertainty is gone'. Looks like this assumption is playing out yet again. Another week of chop to go, and then we'll likely see a larger move once more. $BTC https://t.co/VY6Z4Z3QcY https://t.co/tVc7jqqDmzView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 76678.86 / 79662.78 − 1 = -3.7%d × r = -3.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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