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RAFA · Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2114835500640981212:ethereum

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Oct 2026, 21:44 UTC · fetched 26 Oct 2026, 22:12 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$ETH - Update Next strong support zone sits right below us. I smell a random green dildo coming soon https://t.co/1WG8lYFqQJ

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,307 at 26 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,348 at 27 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC.
r = 2347.76 / 2307.4 − 1 = +1.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“$ETH - Update I do think we have a big bounce coming to work off, but for now slow grind further into support https://t.co/Zqtr7grvcs”Repeat27 Oct 2026, 08:18 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH - Update”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$2,307

Evaluation price

$2,348

Move

+1.7%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 16:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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