Published 26 Oct 2026, 14:54 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:56 UTC
Dan Held
@danheld
If you liked Bitcoin at $126,000, you should love it at $80,000.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 80223.9 / 80272.87 − 1 = -0.1%d × r = -0.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Uses only text available at publication time
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