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Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

Every time $BTC hit oversold on this chart in the last year, it bounced hard. +22%. +39%. +38%. It’s oversold again at $80K. Even the weakest bounce puts it near $98K. Everyone’s selling oversold. I’m buying it. https://t.co/Hl9F0Zog7l

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“I'm done trading $BTC like it's a bear market. Accumulation: done. Breakout: done. Consolidation: we're here. Expansion: $140K–$170K. Most of you still trade it like 2022. I'm buying pullbacks. https://t.co/I8hcXm7Upm”Repeat25 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Every time $BTC hit oversold on this chart in the last year, it bounced hard.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record