Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,681 at 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,196 at 26 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 80196.18 / 80681.01 − 1 = -0.6%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology