Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,691 at 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,528 at 25 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 80527.74 / 79691.06 − 1 = +1.0%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology