Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,668 at 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,348 at 25 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 80347.89 / 80667.52 − 1 = -0.4%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology