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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 24 Oct 2026, 10:05 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:38 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is now at the $2,350 support zone. A daily close below this could dump Ethereum towards $2,200-$2,250. https://t.co/UYG5RF93bu

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,367 at 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,324 at 25 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 2323.56 / 2367.08 − 1 = -1.8%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time