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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

You’re scared of $BTC at $81K. You were scared at $23K in 2023 too. Same chart. Same signal. My target: $140K. https://t.co/yqbHYtL2pq

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,637 at 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,668 at 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 80667.52 / 81636.75 − 1 = -1.2%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time