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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Oct 2026, 10:18 UTC · fetched 26 Oct 2026, 06:06 UTC

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$SOL - Update Not sure if we get that leg up, but if we do it will be the easiest short in the world on rejections. https://t.co/DfZjExM05Y

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $103.90 at 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $101.60 at 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 101.6 / 103.9 − 1 = -2.2%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time