Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Oct 2026, 18:03 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

Quoting · 26 Aug 2026, 19:25 UTC · context given to the AI

$DIS Disney https://t.co/UA3W8lZJks

$DIS Disney trying for a lower high break https://t.co/BnkgxH8TtI https://t.co/OYFhU7vWTk

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $DIS price at or after publication, $0.0003823 at 22 Oct 2026, 18:03 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.0003754 at 23 Oct 2026, 18:03 UTC.
r = 0.00037542651355404943 / 0.00038234816325095124 − 1 = -1.8%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $DIS ($DIS)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$DIS Disney trying for a lower high break https://t.co/BnkgxH8TtI https://t.co/OYFhU7vWTk”
Confidence: 93%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3