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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Oct 2026, 17:17 UTC · fetched 26 Oct 2026, 06:06 UTC

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

ethereum:native - Update Bottom local in IMO, but waiting on that first bounce to work off a long. https://t.co/Oi97aWLqpM

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,377 at 22 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,407 at 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 2406.72 / 2376.75 − 1 = +1.3%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time