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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Oct 2026, 09:23 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:38 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH tapped the $2,530-$2,550 resistance zone and got rejected. It's now back at the $2,400 level and has almost erased all its weekly gains. If a weekly close happens below $2,400 for Ethereum, it could drop another 7%-10%. https://t.co/x7O08J9tU6

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,405 at 22 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $2,318 at 29 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 2318.36 / 2405.16 − 1 = -3.6%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 7 days (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$ETH tapped the $2,530-$2,550 resistance zone and got rejected.”
Confidence: 89%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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