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Published 22 Oct 2026, 08:43 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:38 UTC
Ted
@TedPillows
Quoting · 22 Oct 2026, 05:20 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC is sitting around $82.9K this morning. Yesterday's breakout didn't hold. A lot of late longs got flushed overnight. Now things are quiet. Funding is back near zero, so the leverage got cleaned out. $82.6K is the line I'm watching. Hold it and we can bounce. Win back $83.7K and the bulls are back in charge. Lose $82.6K and I'd look at $81.9K next.$BTC is slipping under $81.9K right now. Another wave of longs got wiped out this morning. About $34M in total. The leverage is pretty much cleaned out. But I'm still not seeing real buyers step in. US demand is also weak. If we close below $81.9K, I'd expect a move to $81K. Get back above $82.6K and things look a lot better. How I see it: No rush to buy. I'd rather let it find a floor first.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 81644.32 / 81762.99 − 1 = -0.1%d × r = +0.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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