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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Oct 2026, 12:04 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Jelle

@CryptoJelleNL

$ETH turning the 50-week EMA into support again, while also reclaiming a key S/R level. Bounce here, and $4k feels like a matter of time. The big question is: what happens once we get there? https://t.co/iVitKECUyM

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,466 at 21 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,398 at 22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 2398.36 / 2465.85 − 1 = -2.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH turning the 50-week EMA into support again, while also reclaiming a key S/R level.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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