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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Oct 2026, 09:23 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:38 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is back above the $2,450 level. But it's looking weak. Until Ethereum reclaims the $2,550 level, there's still a risk of another sharp correction. https://t.co/5g64xg9kbX

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,453 at 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,405 at 22 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 2405.16 / 2453.08 − 1 = -2.0%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH is back above the $2,450 level.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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AI interpretation

Outcome record

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