Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,947 at 21 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,130 at 22 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 84130.35 / 82947.37 − 1 = +1.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology