Loading…

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 Oct 2026, 18:56 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

$ETH bouncing over the main horizontal support and pushing for the reversal on the local downtrend resistance 👀 https://t.co/JPLGA5dxSu

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,436 at 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,495 at 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 2495.4 / 2435.57 − 1 = +2.5%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH bouncing over the main horizontal support and pushing for the reversal on the local downtrend resistance 👀 https://t.co/JPLGA5dxSu”
Confidence: 96%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3