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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:38 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$BTC shorts are aggressively entering here. They'll get squeezed again just like the past few times. https://t.co/TjJP07lGcY

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,450 at 20 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,291 at 21 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 83291.32 / 81450 − 1 = +2.3%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time