Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,460 at 20 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,059 at 21 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 83058.85 / 81459.82 − 1 = +2.0%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology