Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,831 at 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $80,299 at 26 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 80298.98 / 81830.89 − 1 = -1.9%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology