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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 19 Oct 2026, 13:53 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

Killa

@KillaXBT

Monday doing the same old algo. Retracing almost every pump to the upside. Funny how I’ve been pointing this out since August 2025 and they still haven’t changed the algo. You could’ve looked to short $BTC on Monday after the sweeps and caught multiple 1-3% drops. https://t.co/PJXJN0pkx8

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,026 at 19 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,044 at 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 82043.87 / 82026.14 − 1 = +0.0%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “You could’ve looked to short $BTC on Monday after the sweeps and caught multiple 1-3% drops.”
Confidence: 87%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

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