Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,774 at 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,769 at 19 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 81769.26 / 80773.91 − 1 = +1.2%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology