Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,090 at 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,860 at 19 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 81860.27 / 81089.86 − 1 = +1.0%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology