Published 18 Oct 2026, 15:20 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC
Rekt Capital
@rektcapital
Quoting · 21 Sept 2026, 17:57 UTC · context given to the AI
In #BTC Bull Markets you’re always one -10% to -30% pullback away from a great entry And if such a retrace were to occur in the near future then there’s a good chance Bitcoin would revisit prices not very, very far away from the $58k lows You don’t have to buy the absolute lows to do well in a Bitcoin Bull Market After all, the very few who manage to buy the absolute lows may also mistime the Bull Market top and sell too early The aim is to capture the majority of the trend and the key going forward will be to buy on any deeper future pullbacks $BTC #Bitcoin#BTC The way to think about this is as follows: Bitcoin is currently down -9% If ~$80k is turned into new resistance then there's a good chance of lower prices However -30% pullbacks tend to occur only later in the Bitcoin Cycle (Post-Halving) so such a retrace at this stage in what is most likely an early-stage Bull Run is low probability Which leaves the "more than -10% to less than -25%" retrace mark viable candidates for a local bottom In saying that, historical Pre-Halving retraces in the prior cycle ended around the -22% mark This narrows it down even more to where a local bottom could take place in the vicinity of a "more than -10% to less than -22%" retrace And so provided that Bitcoin is an early-stage Bull Market (and there's a very good chance this is already the case) then anything from -11% to -22% is technically bargain territory And seeing as Bitcoin is down -9% already, that means Bitcoin is pretty much entering the bargain region already The question comes down to how much of a bargain does one want access to and how much risk is one willing to take in waiting for lower prices that may or may not come Dollar cost averaging for the rest of 2026 probably solves for that $BTC #BitcoinView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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