Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,613 at 18 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,751 at 19 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 82750.59 / 81613 − 1 = +1.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology