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Mainnet trading opens after on-chain activation and launch checks. Testnet uses test USDC on Base Sepolia; test tokens have no monetary value. Real-money rounds will carry their own terms and risks. Arena is not available to US persons. Questions: legal@rafa.ai

RAFA · Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

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Leaderboard / @travladd / 2111234875936100594:memecoin:Ai66LHZG9MCzg1WKdawwqduVAXpNDUuV8M3uyq5ppump

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 16 Oct 2026, 23:16 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

tr

Travladd 𐤊

@travladd

Next leg up loading for solana:Ai66LHZG9MCzg1WKdawwqduVAXpNDUuV8M3uyq5ppump

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $CATE price at or after publication, $0.06311 at 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.07194 at 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 0.07193836880247316 / 0.06310965301613562 − 1 = +14.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +14.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $CATE ($CATE)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Next leg up loading for solana:Ai66LHZG9MCzg1WKdawwqduVAXpNDUuV8M3uyq5ppump”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$0.06311

Evaluation price

$0.07194

Move

+14.0%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 19:13 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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