Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,864 at 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,480 at 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 81480.32 / 81863.56 − 1 = -0.5%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology