Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,315 at 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,031 at 16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 81030.75 / 82315.17 − 1 = -1.56%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.56% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology