Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,444 at 15 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,408 at 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 2408.35 / 2443.76 − 1 = -1.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology